Category Archives: politics

In my previous post, Iran Crosses Nuclear Breakout Threshold: January, 2013, I estimated that Iran would have enough near-20% U-235 gas from their nuclear program in order to initiate a 1.7 month nuclear breakout beginning on or about 16 January … Continue reading →

Iran needs at least 180 kg of near-20% U-235 gas for a two-step nuclear breakout, as explained in the ISIS report of 8 Oct 2012. The 180 kg breakout uses only the centrifuge cascades at Natanz, and would take 1.7 … Continue reading →

Natanz The Natanz uranium enrichment facility is the larger of the two declared enrichment sites. “As of 10 November 2012, Iran had fully installed 61 cascades in Production Hall A, 54 of which were declared by Iran as being fed … Continue reading →

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In order to understand the latest IAEA report on Iran’s nuclear program, due out tomorrow (Friday, 16 Nov 2012), you need to understand certain basic concepts, which I will summarize below. Iran has been enriching uranium, supposedly for peaceful purposes, … Continue reading →

The Jerusalem Post reports: Russian FM: Iran wouldn’t use nuclear weapons on Israel. The Russian foreign minister has stated that Iran would not attack Israel, “especially because there are millions of Arabs and Muslims in Israel”. I’m skeptical about that … Continue reading →

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This article is a continuation of my previous posts on this topic, especially: Has Iran Begun A Covert Nuclear Breakout? and Iran’s Evolving Breakout Potential: How Bad Is It? The ISIS Report of 8 Oct 2012 concludes that Iran could … Continue reading →

ISIS (Institute for Science and International Security) is a Washington D.C. think tank that covers a wide range of topics. But they have a particular concern for Iran’s progress toward obtaining nuclear weapons. The main site is ISIS-online.org and their … Continue reading →

Short Answer: They may already have one. According to the IAEA report of November 2011 (PDF), Iran has researched, developed, and most probably built all of the components needed for an implosion-type uranium bomb. The only component still lacking is … Continue reading →

As I write these words, the date is June 11th, 2012. The Republican National Convention is scheduled for August 27 to 30 in Tampa, Florida. The Democratic National Convention is scheduled for September 4 to 6 in Charlotte, North Carolina. … Continue reading →