As I wrote in my tweets a few seconds ago:
Why is Iran suddenly behaving more aggressively than ever before? I think it may possibly be because they now have several working nuclear bombs. The extra firepower makes them more arrogant, and more willing to provoke powerful nations.
I expect Iran to make an announcement that they have several nuclear bombs (they might exaggerate and claim to have more than several) soon, perhaps before summer ends. Then Iran and ISIS will make a pact to work together to unite the extremists in that region. They will succeed.
And now I will add a few more comments to the above tweets:
The nuclear agreement between Iran and the West limited their production of purified uranium in degree of enrichment and in quantity. Why were they so willing to accept these restrictions? I have been saying for years now that Iran probably has a third uranium enrichment facility, in addition to the two that are known: Natanz and Fordo. Natanz was originally a secret facility, until ISIS disclosed its existence based on their analysis of commercial (and intelligence?) satellite photos. “ISIS” being “Institute for Science and International Security”.
Fordo was a secret facility until Israeli and U.S. intelligence discovered its existence. So it is clear that Iran wants a secret facility. They have the money and the means to make one. So they probably have one. We just haven’t found it.
In order to “go public” with the fact that they have completed working nuclear bombs, Iran would need to have at least 4 or 5. If they have only one or two, then the U.S. and Israel might try to destroy them with a special forces operation. If they have several, we could not be certain that we would destroy all of them, and then we would have to fear nuclear reprisal. They also need more than one or two so that, if they use one in a reprisal, they have some left to keep us from destroying them in our reprisal.
So at this point, perhaps Iran only has two or three nuclear bombs. Or perhaps there is an internal disagreement as to whether or not to disclose that they have nukes.
Would they need to test the nuclear bombs first? They have an underground testing facility ready to go. But the workings of nuclear bombs are so well understood and proven that Iran might forgo a test explosion, which would waste one very expensive and very difficult to make bomb. So I think it unlikely that the announcement would take the form of a test explosion. They will probably hold a press conference, in which Hasan Rouhani himself reveals the news.
But before that happens (within weeks or months), I expect an internal power struggle in which the Supreme Leader is killed and is replaced by Hasan Rouhani. He will then be both president of Iran and the religious Supreme Leader. And next he will make the announcement that Iran has nukes.
What happens next is that every Islamic extremist leader and group will want to ally with Iran because of this new power. Iran will make a pact with ISIS (Islamic State of Iraq and Syria) to try to give control of Iraq and Syria to ISIS, and to try to unite all the Arab/Muslim nations of that region under their dual control.