So the news just broke that Ron DeSantis has dropped out of the U.S. Presidential GOP Primary, two days prior to the New Hampshire primary. (The Iowa caucus is not really a primary, as only certain persons can vote.) The exist of Vivek and DeSantis from the race has helped Nikki Haley immensely.
I meant what I wrote in my previous post that I expect Nikki Haley to become U.S. President by a landslide:
“4. The 2024 U.S. Presidential Election: I think that neither Biden nor Trump will be running for President by November of 2024. Big changes are in order. The world of politics will be set in disarray. The next president, in my prediction, will be a woman, probably Nikki Haley. A landslide win for Nikki Haley is my prediction.”
I really do not think that persons in power in State and Federal government will let Trump run for and possibly win the Presidency. Taking him off the ballot, on a claim of Amendment 14, section 3, without a trial or ruling by SCOTUS, is a blatant power play, and has nothing to do with justice. See my article Why the 14th Amendment Does Not Apply to former Presidents.
If Trump were elected, there may be contingency plans in place to remove him from power and/or obstruct his use of presidential power. But I don’t think they will even let it go that far. They are terrified of him and what he might do in a second term. They will find a way to throw him in prison. Sorry, to have to say it.
As for Nikki Haley, she draws well from moderates and even some left-of-center Democrats. In a general election, she would and will win by a landslide. And this will especially be true if Biden does not make it to the general election. His mental acuity may force him to resign, with Harris taking over his presidential run. And she would not do well against Haley.
RLCJ
the reproach of Christ 
Ron,
I am starting to get this feeling about Haley and Manchin teaming up to run for presidency. The never Trumpers and never Bidens might be enough to garner one third of the voting public support. The donors who don’t want Trump or Biden might be able to make the election interesting.
If I remember correctly my US History lessons way back in the early 1960s’, the last item to be discussed on ratifying the Constitution was how to elect the President. The delegates could not agree on how to go forward in electing the President until a compromise was reached with all delegates being in agreement where “Electors” would decide the Presidency. Thus the Electoral College was born.
The Founders belief was public ignorance and/or outside influence would affect the choice of a nation’s leader. They believed that the electors would ensure that only a qualified person became president. And they thought the Electoral College would serve as a check on a public who might be easily misled, especially by foreign governments.
Remarkable foresight and it even rings truer today. Their belief in the people being misled was 100% correct as we have lost journalism and has been replaced with Progressive Leftists diatribe on all social media platforms.
I know the debate will go on for a popular vote vs. Electoral College but I am one who will take Our Founders wisdom over todays elite and educators.
Ron,
I too think Nikki Haley is not a true conservative and she reminds me of New York State Governor Rockefeller (Old Republican Guard). I believe she would beat President Biden in this year’s election due to his abysmal record. Should she run against Michelle Obama, she would lose.
It will be very interesting at the upcoming Democratic Convention to see how this all plays out.
There is no oddity of the Electoral College – This is a Republic, therefore acquiring the majority votes from an individual state has always been the strategy in securing the presidency. The overall popular vote of the entire country never matters in securing the presidency. I agree the conservative messages going forward are doomed. They have been doomed for decades now. I maintain that most voters do not take their time in evaluating and understand policies being put forward. Until the electorate is re-educated on the core principles of the USA – They will be persuaded by social and news media.
Whatever happens, the government of the USA is so entrenched with radical leftists (not elected officials), it will bring the demise of a once great nation.
I think the political left has moved so far to the left, that moderates and some left-of-center democrats would vote for a somewhat liberal Republican. Nikki Haley is not my idea of an ideal candidate for President, as she is not conservative enough. But I think she can win, as the democrats have increasingly abandoned moderates, independents, and democrats closer to the center than the left.
We often hear the statement “this is a Republic” in support of the Electoral College, but that institution is an artifact of the original constitutional design, which was different in many ways. Originally, for example, Senators were elected by legislators.
We’d still be a republic without the Electoral College. We have a democratic republic.
The system really needs to be changed as it doesn’t support the modern office. The original office of the Presidency still leaned on the office as it had existed under the Articles of Confederation, but it ceased to function that way almost immediately. The Electoral College was really allowed to continue on after Theodore Roosevelt brought in the era of the “Imperial Presidency” only because the thought that a President could end up serving who had a minority of votes cast for him was regarded as so unlikely as to be nearly impossible. I recall it being sort of an odd quiz topic when I was in junior high, in the mid 1970s. More recently, some like George F. Will defended it on the basis that it exaggerated, and therefore supported, the popular vote in a country in which the votes are always close.
Will no longer supports it.
“I think the political left has moved so far to the left, that moderates and some left-of-center democrats would vote for a somewhat liberal Republican”
I think that’s completely correct. Frankly, the Democrats have the same problem in that they’ve both become parties of the extreme. It’s only more obvious with the Republicans, as the old GOP has effectively died.
Most voters are disgusted by both parties, and most do not want these two ancient candidates as the choices. This is, in my view, one of those rare moments in history where a centrist third party, either center right, or center left, could successful field a candidate.
2. I understand many Catholics favor Trump. As of now, Trump is clearly leading. Haley may score some wins but most of the Republican voters identify their party with Trump. Kamala is a card still not played (did Biden call her the president?)
The other possibility to prevent Trump from second election is a fast developing war situation in Europe and elsewhere. Is Trump reelection the end of the world? I don’t think so. But I also don’t think we will have 4+1 peaceful years until 2029.
Some people launch the idea that the 100 year period of Satan should end in 2029 because of the apparitions in 1929 in which Sr Lucia received the requirement of the consecration of Russia. However important these apparitions are, such approach skips events like WW1 and the October revolution as the 100 years starting point. I don’t think this is the correct understanding of Fatima prophecy, rather incorrect messing of two or three distinct prophecies with the desired result to have a year still ahead of us, simply because 2000 and 2017 came and went. I’d rather say that God prolonged the time as the last chance of repentance, and that extra time may end tomorrow. Therefore, I don’t give too much hope for a second term of Trump as a miraculous betterment. If it happens, it will carry its own heavy weight that we know from his first 4 years in office.
It will be Kamala Harris. Biden is unelectable. The sooner his advisers tell him that in non uncertain terms, the better for the planet. He should be convinced to resign months before the elections, leaving the first woman with color heritage as US president. That will alter the world politics much too. I knew Kamala would be president since I saw her cooking interview during her campaign, that I want to post here. She has a spirit, a charisma, besides any political considerations. No matter if you like Kamala or not, she is someone and she has what to bring too. I’m sorry but Biden is well over that in his lifelong career, and at this point no one seriously thinks he could be elected a second time. Trump we all know what he is capable of. He just can’t be the president, even only out of egoistic concerns of survival. All the talks how Biden will ignite the planet and Trump will stop the war in 24h, could be summarized as: Trump would do it faster in just 24h so no one will be left to see.
It will be Kamala, I bet on her. Or WW3 will start in the months before.
One additional item, that’s just starting to come into play, Trump is pretty clearly evidencing signs of mental decline.
I went through the absolute agony of that with my own mother, and what I recall so vividly is that she became nasty and mean at first, and then just disconnected from reality. As that happened, she’s say and do things that were startling, and confused.
Trump has always had a pretty pronounced mean streak, but recently he’s been very confused.
The added scary part of this is that once people begin to decline, it accelerates. If Trump is elected I quite frankly wouldn’t expect his mental status to stay even where it presently is within two years.
I read your earlier item on the 14th Amendment, but didn’t comment on it.
As an attorney of 30 years practice (mostly courtroom work, mostly civil litigation) who has advanced local constitutional issues on appeal, I frankly have no doubt at all that the 14th Amendment bars Trump from office. I’ll note that two members of the highly conservative Federalist Society have the same opinion.
As for the upcoming S.Ct. hearing, my prediction there is that the S.Ct will find that Trump is barred under the 14th Amendment from taking office, and therefore is implicitly barred from running. Such a decision squares with the Constitution, and it gets the S.Ct out of the “Trump’s lackies” set of claims. Indeed, one Trump lawyer claimed that the S.Ct owes him a favorable decision, and there’s no better way in the world to assure you don’t get one than to do that.
As for the winder issues in this entry, I noted this on my blog recently:
“I think Trump will take Iowa, and I’d give that a 100% chance. Biden will of course take Iowa.
I’m giving Haley a 60% chance of taking New Hampshire. New Hampshire doesn’t like to look like Iowa’s lapdog, and it is an East Coast state with a history of acting independently.
Irrespective of that, if I’m wrong on the matters noted below, there’s a 75% chance that Trump is the GOP nominee and a 100% chance Biden is the Democratic nominee.
Now, here’s where some will think we’re off the rails.
I think there’s a 60% chance the United States Supreme Court will find Trump an insurrectionist unqualified to hold office.
When they do that, if they do, there will be a massive outbreak of right wing violence across the country.
If they do that, Haley will be the nominee.
I feel there’s a 55% chance that Trump, who is an old man, who looks unhealthy, and who in my view is showing signs of dementia, will die before the election. He’s showing signs of decline every day.
If he dies, and I think he will, Haley will be the nominee.
I feel there’s a 40% chance that Biden will pass away of natural causes before the election.
If he dies, and I don’t think he will, I have no idea who the nominee will be.
In a Biden v. Trump rematch, Trump will win. I don’t want him to, but he will.
In a Biden v. Haley match, Haley will win. The Democrats seem incapable of accepting that they’re going with an unelectable candidate.
Assuming that Biden and Trump are the nominees, at some point after Super Tuesday, there’s a 55% chance that somebody announces a major third party run. I’m not sure who it will be, but Christie, Manchin and Cheney are all figures in that. My guess is that it will be Manchin for President, with Christie as VP.
Everyone always states that no third parties ever win, even the GOP itself was a third party that in fact won, displacing the dying Whigs. A third party here would displace the dying GOP. I’d give a third party as 60% chance of winning.
Given the furor he stirs up, there are a lot of things I fear this election many feature that I’m not going to post, as I don’t want them to look like something I’m endorsing by mentioning them. Indeed, I’m afraid that they’ll happen and desperately hope they do not.
This will close this edition. The next one will come out on the morning after, so to speak, of the Iowa Caucus.
People should pray for the nation.”
I believe the only way Trump does not become President is for him to be assassinated. More and more evidence comes to the forefront of the dirty politics being played by the democrats. This will only embolden the citizens to elect Trump. Should Trump be found guilty on any of the current indictments and is placed in jail, the electorate will give Trump the victory at the polls. Then, the Vice-President (his running mate) will become President and pardon Trump to fulfill his obligation of the Presidency.
I could be completely wrong but if the citizens of the USA who voted for Trump understand their votes did not count – there could be a greater chaos than the civil war.
Whatever happens, it certainly appears the deep state will do whatever to remain in power.
“This will only embolden the citizens to elect Trump.”
This is a common theme with Trump supporters, but the reality of it is that Trump has never secured the popular vote and therefore “the citizens” never elected him.
Conservatives, and I am one, need to realize that the conservative message really isn’t selling to the majority of Americans. The last two “conservative” Presidents we had received the minority of votes, and only the oddity of the Electoral College caused them to be elected. Relying on the electoral college to force a President on a public that has largely voted against him is not a long term strategy for success.
What Trump supporters should really realize is that in 2016 the votes of Trump supporters in a handful of states counted more than the votes in the rest of the country, and that failed in 2020. Blinding the eyes to the reality of the situation that most voters are now center left will doom the conservative message going forward.